Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 84.950635 94.925551 105.080422 116.161119 127.881365 139.880710 153.065882
2025-08-31 68.468076 82.782110 97.971025 115.162506 133.960446 153.781524 176.154456
2025-09-07 59.811759 76.685791 95.136265 116.552157 140.487525 166.201510 195.707702
2025-09-14 53.444579 72.230234 93.318953 118.323825 146.775403 177.799034 213.856412
2025-09-21 46.791099 66.714513 89.673454 117.457633 149.603997 185.134291 226.904196
2025-09-28 40.375670 60.880687 85.150743 115.120191 150.355863 189.799533 236.661888
2025-10-05 38.185973 59.985935 86.289073 119.228719 158.381951 202.585634 255.469727
2025-10-12 35.513954 58.232215 86.190647 121.700734 164.366163 212.934941 271.430648
2025-10-19 31.727502 54.732482 83.701685 121.087404 166.545902 218.763677 282.109348
2025-10-26 28.358334 51.518704 81.360539 120.473513 168.575241 224.298600 292.349643
2025-11-02 25.874046 49.317709 80.161673 121.146235 172.049289 231.446794 304.396581
2025-11-09 23.020781 46.370183 77.821019 120.244991 173.498250 236.118468 313.485557
2025-11-16 20.806624 44.209535 76.441989 120.526386 176.397743 242.549621 324.711378
2025-11-23 18.295823 41.396184 74.036833 119.375616 177.445235 246.713587 333.233344
2025-11-30 16.871473 40.138107 73.677453 120.815749 181.667374 254.654499 346.197133
2025-12-07 15.682881 39.154668 73.633495 122.620457 186.312733 263.086198 359.734683
2025-12-14 13.810507 36.874804 71.635030 121.736984 187.490473 267.257195 368.151490
2025-12-21 11.714785 33.989206 68.609277 119.350918 186.658020 268.900499 373.479405
2025-12-28 11.489507 34.403149 70.426003 123.544481 194.273330 280.917772 391.299886
2026-01-04 10.866724 34.032042 71.038947 126.067041 199.721859 290.264909 405.905947
2026-01-11 9.554858 32.233825 69.415973 125.441211 201.043942 294.483145 414.288898
2026-01-18 8.363320 30.525139 67.840773 124.814782 202.315490 298.603297 422.526973
2026-01-25 7.544213 29.472148 67.228678 125.501243 205.280795 304.814990 433.299892